I have posted a number of articles on the problem of income inequality, but most of them have come from lefty publications. Mike Lofgren, who was a Republican staffer for 16 years, has written an essay in The American Conservative, and it raises the political problems on income inequality from a conservative point of view.
Nationalist emotions are rising all over Europe (and elsewhere). In Hungary. In Armenia. In Russia.
In an earlier post I commented on the lack of comments in the Republican convention about foreign policy. Foreign Policy Passport actually did a word count. Quite the strange turn of perspective for the GOP.
The Non-Aligned Movement has ended its meeting in Iran. The NAM represents about two-thirds of the membership of the United Nations, so one would think that it would receive a great deal of press coverage. Such is not the case. The NAM voted unanimously today to support Iran’s right to peaceful nuclear energy, a sharp repudiation to the position taken by the US and some other members of the UN Security Council. But you have to read the article in the Washington Post very carefully in order to find out that this decision was made.
One of the basic tenets of classical realism is that human nature is inherently aggressive. There is some evidence upon which this claim is made, but there is an increasing amount of evidence that human beings are also inherently cooperative. The BBC reports on one such bit of evidence and the experiment upon which it is based.
Lots of people watched the Republican national convention, not all of them Americans. The Russians, in particular, were not at all pleased by what they interpreted as Governor Romney’s hostile comments. It was also striking that for the first time in my memory the Presidential candidate of a major party did not mention any of the wars in which American soldiers are currently participating.
Americans have a hard time figuring out how to respond to China–many worry excessively about its increasing power. Here’s an article that suggests that Americans should worry more about China’s weaknesses.
The International Atomic Energy Agency has reported that Iran has doubled its centrifuge capacity. That increased ability to produce enriched uranium has caused great apprehension in Israel. Israeli Prime Minster Netanyahu will speak to the UN General Assembly in September about the threat, so it would seem as if any planned attack on Iran will be delayed until after that time. But the timing of the attack, if it is planned, will depend largely on military considerations. At the same time, Iran’s Supreme Leader, Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, made a speech to the Non-Aligned Movement leaders in which he definitely ruled out Iran’s possession of nuclear weapons.
World food prices jumped 10% last month because of the droughts affecting different parts of the world. The increase may seem small, but for those who live on the margins of subsistence (about 1 billion people) the price increases will prove crippling.
Three prominent economists argue in the Christian Science Monitor that a potential breakup of the eurozone could bring recession to the rest of the world. There is a lot of activity in the eurozone right now as it appears as if Greece will not be able to satisfy the requirements of the European Central Bank, the EU, and the IMF. The Germans are now sending mixed signals–some hard-line, others softer–about the possibility of giving Greece more time to restructure its debt. We should expect a lot of discussion in the next few weeks.
I have mentioned in previous posts how India seems to be ignoring American requests to isolate Iran. A noted analyst, Sumit Ganguly, gives an explanation of Indian foreign policy which makes a great deal of sense. If Ganguly is correct, there is little reason to expect the Indians to cooperate with an Iranian embargo.
The Atlantic has yet another article on the likelihood of an Israeli-Iranian war. I am posting the article not necessarily because I believe that the article is correct, but because it is important to figure out how analysts make their assessments. We will, at some point, be able to determine whether these analysts were correct. It is worthwhile knowing what variables seem to critical in making predictions.
The ongoing turmoil in Syria has led to a massive refugee problem for a number of its neighbors. The most seriously affected is Turkey, and there is a robust discussion of creating some sort of enclave for the refugees in Turkey. The impulse for the enclave is humanitarian, but there are a number of possible repercussions to such a move. The most serious issue is whether that enclave would serve as a base for a Syrian government-in-exile. That move would place Turkey squarely in the middle of the contest between the opponents of Syria (basically the US, Europe, and Israel) and the supporters of Syria (Russia and Iran). The second concern is whether that enclave might serve as a base for disaffected Kurds, who have long fought for autonomy within Turkey. This is a difficult decision for the Turks.
Foreign Policy has an interesting post on the Republican Party platform on foreign policy issues. Again, most candidates do not believe that the platform commits them to any particular course of action. But it is an interesting perspective on the role of the United States in world affairs.
A great post by Stephen Walt on what every “foreign policy wonk should study.”
The Guardian newspaper has an article based on a report issued by the Stockholm International Water Institute that water shortages are going to change the dietary habits of human beings quite drastically by mid-century. Since animal protein uses an unsustainable amount of fresh water, the Institute believes that the world will have to change over to vegetarianism. Fresh water is truly going to be a scarce resource very soon.
Iran is hosting the meeting of the Non-Aligned Movement, and, in the process, is scoring some diplomatic victories. Both Egypt and India have announced that they will attend the meetings despite strong pressure from the United States. The rebuffs serve as testimony to the reduced influence the US has in world affairs: it is still a powerful state, but there is considerable more freedom for other states to pursue their own policies. The US can learn how to adjust to this reduced role. If it does, the world will have to learn how to navigate on its own as well.
The Republican Party continues to work on its platform (which the Presidential candidate often ignores) and it pays special attention to some international agreements that have previously been accepted by both Republican and Democratic Administrations. I suspect that many don’t know or care about these platforms, but they do act as a political barometer on many issues. In this case, it is clear that many Americans are highly suspicious of anything that seems to be international.
I try to stay away from partisan politics in the US–my own views should be irrelevant to all who read this blog. But I do try to stay abreast of how non-Americans view the American electoral process. Those views form a considerable part of how other states react to American foreign policy. The Economist, a highly regarded journal with distinctive conservative views, ran an essay that was surprisingly critical of the Republican nominee, Mitt Romney.
When Hollande was elected President of France, many of us interpreted his election as a swing away from the EU austerity programs favored by Germany. It appears, however, that that interpretation was premature. Greece has asked for more time to repay its debts, but its request was rebuffed by Hollande. The decision needs to be made by September, and it appears as if Greece will not get the extension it desires. That circumstance may force Greece to leave the eurozone.
As the sea ice shrinks in the Arctic Ocean, many states are claiming sovereignty over the now-accessible areas near the North pole. The German periodical, Der Spiegel, has an article on Russian attempts to begin drilling for hydrocarbons in this ecologically fragile area. The US and Canada will not be far behind.
Language is one of the most important components of national identity. The evolution of language is an interesting subject, since it traces the stops and starts of human migration. The New York Times has a great graphic on how the Indo-European languages evolved.
There’s a great deal of difference between weather and climate which leads to a lot of confusion on the climate change debate. Here’s a great graphic that indicates that cooling and warming can occur simultaneously, depending on what time frame one selects for analysis.
The Council of Foreign Relations has published some great observations on the US and its political conventions as made by outside analysts. It’s very revealing to see how others see the American political process since most Americans have a very insulated view of the process.
If you want to know why the world is so focused on an Israeli attack on Iran, you don’t need to look any further than the geopolitics of oil movements. The US Energy Information Agency has just published a memo on “World Oil Transit Chokepoints” which highlights the Strait of Hormuz at the end of the Persian/Arabian Gulf. It is, however, only one of many such problem areas.
The Pew Research Center has released a study on the American middle class, and its results are sobering. The American middle class has shrunk considerably since 1971 and most of its former inhabitants have moved down and not up the income scale. The demographics of the change are an incredible snapshot of American society.
The forced austerity program imposed on Greece is an attempt to secure what is known as an “internal devaluation.” Since Greece’s currency is a shared one, the euro, it cannot devalue the currency it uses in order to change its prices and wages simultaneously. An internal devaluation pushes down wages, but can only affect prices marginally so the society as a whole suffers a great deal. One way to address this imbalance is to sell assets to outsiders (like a port, an airline, or a park). Apparently, Greece is considering selling some of its uninhabited islands to outsiders. You could probably buy one for a “relatively” low price.
There is a lot of speculation about the fate of the euro–the shared currency 17 states within the 27-state European Union. The reporting all tends to assume that the collapse of the euro would be a very bad thing (a point of view that I share). However, there is sentiment that the collapse of the euro might be a good thing for ordinary citizens of Europe. Counterpunch is a good lefty source, and it ran an essay arguing precisely that.
Since March of 2009 there have been 50 self-immolations by Tibetans protesting Chinese rule in Tibet. Such acts are motivated by profound desperation, but there has been only sporadic attention to these protests in the media–the Chinese have suppressed information about them to an incredible degree. Tenzin Dorjee, executive director of Students for a Free Tibet, brings light to this subject in this interview.
The McKinsey Global Institute has done a study of communication in the US since 1900. Its results are staggering: Americans transmit about 12 trillion words per year. Here’s a graph of how things have changed since 1900.
World Politics News 