21 August 2012   Leave a comment

The situation in Syria continues to ramp up great power apprehensions.  President Obama warned Syria against moving any of its chemical weapons, pointing out that such moves would affect his calculus concerning US intervention.  In turn, the Russians have warned against Western involvement in the dispute.   The Russians have a great stake in Syria, and it appears as if they have broached the issue of Assad leaving the country.  We will have to see whether the Russians have the ability to move Assad toward resignation.  Much would depend on whether Assad would be given guarantees against criminal prosecution, something the Syrian opposition would find impossible to accept.  Meanwhile, the violence continues to spread to Lebanon.

The Arctic sea ice is headed toward a record melt this year.  The previous record was in 2007 when everything that could go wrong for the sea ice did in fact go wrong.  This year is much different–there were no anomalies to explain the quick melt.  So this melt is cause for significant alarm among scientists.

Posted August 21, 2012 by vferraro1971 in World Politics

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