The ethnic mix of Europe seems to be going through a massive change because of the emphasis placed on the refugee crisis. But the ethnic mix of Europe was pretty well established prior to the crisis and, in a continent of 490 million people, it is hard to change the mix all that much. The Pew Research Center did an analysis of the ethnic mix in Europe prior to the crisis and the information is a good base from which to think about the impact of the refugees. One cannot deny that the flood of refugees is incredibly difficult to manage and accommodate in the short term. But it is unlikely that Europe will be transformed by it.
Laszlo Toroczkai is the mayor of Asotthalom, a town on the Hungary-Serbia border and he has produced a video designed to discourage refugees from coming to his town. He is a member of the 64 Counties Youth Movement (if you cannot read Hungarian, Google can translate the page) which is an ultranationalist group closely aligned with the Hungarian Prime Minister, Viktor Orban. The video is quite remarkable.
The commander of US naval forces in the Pacific, Admiral Harry Harris, told the US Senate Armed Services Committee that the US should challenge Chinese activity in the South China Sea. According to Reuters:
“‘I believe that we should exercise – be allowed to exercise, freedom of navigation and flight – maritime and flight – in the South China Sea against those islands that are not islands.’
“Asked if this meant going within 12 miles, he answered, referring to the artificial islands: ‘Depending on the feature.” He added: “Conducting that kind of … freedom-of-navigation operation is one of the operations we’re considering.'”
Admiral Harris has international law on his side, but one should expect the Chinese to respond quite forcefully to such a move.
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It would be interesting to project what the Muslim population map for Europe would look like in 25 years and 50 years based on current reproduction rates for Muslims versus the reproduction rate of other members that make up the European population with everything else being equal.
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Actually, the Pew Research Center did that extrapolation. Interestingly, the country that will experience the most dramatic rise in the Muslim population is Russia. You should go to the source and see the other extrapolations.
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